Tuesday, February 05, 2008

The Real Deal About the Three

Talk about mis-reading an in-game promo.

The Leafs gave up 8 goals to the Panthers tonight and, looking at the way the Leafs played, I can only conclude most of them left the ice thinking they had 1 in 3 odds of winning a flat panel TV.

By the Numbers

About three weeks ago, a University of Alberta business professor calculated the Leafs had a 3% chance of making the post-season. His computer model runs possible outcomes for each team for every game remaining 500 times. The Leafs qualified in just 14 of the 500 simulations. The Leafs have gone 1-2-1 since the prof revealed his numbers. I'm no math whiz, but I'm thinking 3% is higher than Kevin Stevens in a Collinsville Travelodge with a crack pipe and a hooker.

The Leafs are four points up on LA for dead last in the NHL first place in the Stamkos sweepstakes. Tied with Chicago at 51 and up two on Tampa who have 49 points.

Raycroft went into tonight's game with an .874 save percentage, good for 68th in the NHL. Tonight, Rayzor managed to stop 7 of 11 shots, dropping his save percentage to a sizzling .868. Oustanding stuff from the future waiver wire casualty, but it's still not quite enough for him to catch LA's Bernier, who's in the much coveted 69 spot.

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